Which of Trump's 12 Jurors will leave the Jury next?
45
361
1.5k
Aug 2
76%
None of the 12 jurors leave.
11%
Juror 2: A man who works in investment banking and lives in Hell's Kitchen. Follows Trump, Michael Cohen and Kellyanne Conway on social media. Believes Trump has done some good for the country, but that he can be an impartial juror.
4%
Juror 9: A woman who is a speech therapist, gets news from CNN and likes reality TV podcasts. Said “he was our president. Everyone knows who he is,” adding that when he was in office “everyone was kind of talking about politics."
2%
Juror 6: A young woman who lives in Chelsea and works as a software engineer. She gets news from The New York Times, Google, Facebook and TikTok. She said she probably has different beliefs than Mr. Trump, but that “this is a free country.”
1.3%
Juror 11: A woman, a product manager from Upper Manhattan, who reads Google, business and fashion news. She said she does not have strong opinions about Mr. Trump but added, “I don’t like his persona, how he presents himself in public.”

In Trump's Manhattan Hush Money Trial, two jurors who were sworn in have already been excused and replaced. There is now a full Jury of 12, but a few more alternates will still be sworn in in case any of those 12 need to also be replaced.

While the jury is anonymous, reporters in the courtroom have told us a fair bit about them. See NYT and NBC.

If we learn that another juror has left the jury, this market will resolve to that juror. If there is reporting of multiple jurors leaving the jury at the same time, this market will resolve to an equal split of those jurors. The "other" option exists to cover unknown unknowns, and should resolve "no" in most scenarios.

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Juror 1: The foreman. Lives in West Harlem and works in sales. Married, likes the outdoors, and gets news from The New York Times, Fox News and MSNBC. Had heard of some of Trump's other cases, but did not have an opinion of him.

How can you be watching Fox News and MSNBC without forming any sort of opinion on Trump? My guess is that they just doesn't follow politics but want to come off as an enlightened centrist type. We need to normalize "I don't follow politics" again (like running/religion juror)

Juror 2: A man who works in investment banking and lives in Hell's Kitchen. Follows Trump, Michael Cohen and Kellyanne Conway on social media. Believes Trump has done some good for the country, but that he can be an impartial juror.
bought Ṁ20 Juror 2: A man who w... YES

Quite frankly I'm surprised the prosecution let this man on the jury.

@Najawin I think the first Juror 2 asked to be excused and he replaced her?

@Joshua No, that's true, but they could still try to strike, right?

@Najawin Yeah sure sounds like they dropped the ball there

sold Ṁ8 Juror 2: A man who w... YES

@Joshua Oh, never mind. WaPo says he listens to Mueller She Wrote. lmao, he's a lock.

bought Ṁ1 Juror 2: A man who w... YES

@Najawin What does lock mean in this context?

@TheAllMemeingEye Oh, I think he's very likely to vote to convict, given that info.

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