If Harris wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?
If Harris wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?
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resolved Nov 6
Resolved
N/A

Inflation data gathered from the bureau of labor statistics

The current inflation rate is 3.2% the FED has a goal of 2%. 2.5% is roughly in the middle of these two numbers. If Harris is elected will the FED reach that mark?

Resolves N/A if Harris is not elected.

Update: We may close this market temporarily around election day to prevent manipulation.


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Politics
US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Democratic Party
Kamala Harris
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bought 𝕊1.00 YES6mo

It looks like experts aren’t expecting Harris’ plans to alter the current projections of it remaining below 2.5%

https://apnews.com/article/trump-inflation-tariffs-taxes-immigration-federal-reserve-a18de763fcc01557258c7f33cab375ed

7mo

I suspect the probability for Trump or Harris in 2025 should be somewhat close since inflation is a somewhat lagging indicator and 2025 is only a years time. I guess any policy differences should be visible by the end of 2025, but then there is the additional question of how long it would take to enact these policy differences.

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