Inflation data gathered from the bureau of labor statistics
The current inflation rate is 3.2% the FED has a goal of 2%. 2.5% is roughly in the middle of these two numbers. If Harris is elected will the FED reach that mark?
Resolves N/A if Harris is not elected.
Update: We may close this market temporarily around election day to prevent manipulation.
Related:
1,000It looks like experts aren’t expecting Harris’ plans to alter the current projections of it remaining below 2.5%
I suspect the probability for Trump or Harris in 2025 should be somewhat close since inflation is a somewhat lagging indicator and 2025 is only a years time. I guess any policy differences should be visible by the end of 2025, but then there is the additional question of how long it would take to enact these policy differences.