🏅 Top traders

Is there a 2024 version of these markets?

@Manifold Was it? Resolve?

Please add San Francisco hashtag!

You're 'centralized in SF', but can individual FTE work remotely if they want?

@LukeHanks Yes, but working out of the office is encouraged, and may not be optional for new hires.

survivorship bias - doesn't count people who leave / would have joined but don't

there probably isn't actually a good operationalization though ...

@Sinclair I agree with this one.

I believe that Manifold is seriously harming itself by significantly shrinking the talent pool. I've never found that in-person employees perform better in any way than remote employees, and they cost significantly more to employ due to office furniture and similar expenses. Manifold's managers are out of touch with the needs of their employees, as many employees view mandatory office work as patronizing and not trusting of them.

But I'm not bidding on this market because the Manifold will never know this, as there is no control to this "experiment." They will limit themselves to expensive employees who are willing to move to San Francisco, when they could have hired three employees of equal or better value who work elsewhere.