MANIFOLD
Will Gwern talk mostly positively or negatively about the move to San Fransisco, in a year?
18
Ṁ1.5kṀ2.8k
Jun 11
Positively82%

According to stuff gwern writes or says publicly about it. if it's ambiguous, may resolve N/A or to a percentage. If I amass a large position it will be resolved by manifold moderators.

See also:

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@traders have any of you heard anything one way or the other? i suppose it was to be expected that he wouldn't be too likely to talk about it, if not

@Bayesian Wait till Manifest to ask him to resolve lol

@MingCat hmmm if i ask him it'll be about what he would have said a year from market creation but sure

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy