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MANIFOLD
Will Gwern talk mostly positively or negatively about the move to San Fransisco, in a year?
20
Ṁ1.5kṀ3k
resolved Jun 21
ResolvedN/A
84%
Positively
16%
Negatively

According to stuff gwern writes or says publicly about it. if it's ambiguous, may resolve N/A or to a percentage. If I amass a large position it will be resolved by manifold moderators.

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@traders have any of you heard anything one way or the other? i suppose it was to be expected that he wouldn't be too likely to talk about it, if not

@Bayesian Wait till Manifest to ask him to resolve lol

@MingCat hmmm if i ask him it'll be about what he would have said a year from market creation but sure