Manifest 2023 is Manifold's inaugural forecasting conference — more info & buy tickets here!
We'll award M100 to any especially good session ideas, and M500 to any session idea that ends up being run by Manifold/Manifest staff. We might also raise the bounties, if there are a lot of good ideas! :)
EDIT: Good ideas that've already been floated by the organizing team won't count toward the M500 bounties (but we'll still give the M100 bounties!). Adding to/changing/improving on existing ideas (like @Joshua 's comment), however, do still count toward the M500 bounty.
A game of mafia in which there's a a market for each player on whether they're in the mafia, and where the daily execution is decided not by voting but by the highest-priced player at the end of the day
I've run something similar before: https://arjunpanickssery.substack.com/p/play-my-futarchyprediction-market
I would really love some live betting on second-to-second but otherwise silly events; think like marble olympics https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OUuYf6e8LEs.
How to communicate technical stuff with nontechnical people, including live demos and practice