The United States has vast methane reserves:
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_enr_coalbed_a_EPG0_R51_Bcf_a.htm
This market will resolve to Yes if either of the following criteria are met:
The top figure showing the total amount of Cobaled Methane for any date of 2025 or later is lower than the most recent previous data point. If no data is reported before Trump's second term ends, as has been the case in 2018 and 2019, the market will resolve to No, as long as the second criterion is not met.
If Donald Trump, JD Vance, any active cabinet member, or any active Congressperson is recorded audibly farting between the creation of this market and the end of Trump's second term, it will be considered a depletion of the United States's methane/natural gas reserves, and this market will resolve to Yes.
Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
The time period for the audible farting event has been corrected to be from the market's creation until the end of Trump's second term.
1,000"between the creation of this market and the end of Trump's first term"
"second term" right?
Edit: it says "first term" everywhere, including the title. Are you making an argument for a third term 😂