Will the Global Methane Pledge be met?
21
Ṁ1805
2030
16%
chance

The global methane pledge aims to keep 2030 methane anthropogenic emissions below 70% of 2020 emissions. https://www.globalmethanepledge.org/

Will it succeed?

Resolution will be by the first authoritative data source with single-year emissions data from all major anthropogenic sources, likely PRIMAP, which is used by OurWorldInData https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/methane-emissions

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Will you resolve based on global emissions, or emissions from only the countries signed up to the pledge?

@Tomoffer global emissions.