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MANIFOLD
Will there be a trend spike for the term "apocalypse cult" before 2030?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ339
2030
55%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the worldwide Google Trends metric for the term "apocalypse cult" reaches a higher level than 50% its previous maximum (the spike circa 2018) before January 1st 2030.

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The techies' belief-system can best be explained as a religious phenomenon, to which we may give the name "Technianity." It's true that Technianity at this point is not strictly speaking a religion, because it has not yet developed anything resembling a uniform body of doctrine; the techies' beliefs are widely varied. In this respect Technianity probably resembles the inceptive stages of many other religions. Nevertheless, Technianity already has the earmarks of an apocalyptic and millenarian cult: In most versions it anticipates a cataclysmic event, the Singularity, which is the point at which technological progress is supposed to become so rapid as to resemble an explosion.

Was the 2018 spike primarily due to the Aum Shinrikyo cult executions or was there something else too?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-43395483