Itamar Ben-Gvir is Israel's Minister of National Security since December 2022, and recently voted against the government budget
This market will resolve YES if Ben-Gvir ceases to be Minister of National Security before July 1, 2025, for any reason including:
Resignation
Dismissal
Government collapse
Formation of a new government
Death or incapacitation
The market will resolve NO if Ben-Gvir remains Minister of National Security through June 30, 2025.
Even if he stops being minister and than returns, this will still resolve as NO.
Update 2025-21-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:
Even if Ben-Gvir stops being Minister of National Security and then returns, the market will resolve as YES.
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@Magyk Could you explain what passage in the formulation of the question that makes you interpret it in this way? (I honestly don't see it)
@smokey "Even if he stops being minister and than returns, this will still resolve as NO." This should have been YES
@Magyk but this sentence doesn't have any meaning (maybe the author means "...and then returns,.." but there's no way of knowing). Just disregard it and the resolution criteria is clear.