Will an Israeli minister resign before April 2025?
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16
Ṁ8667
resolved Jan 19
Resolved
YES

Since the start of fighting with Gaza four ministers resigned from the position: Galit Distel-Atbaryan, Benny Gantz, Gadi Eisenkot and Hili Tropper.

This will resolve to YES if until April 1st 2024 a minister will send an official resignation letter to the prime minister, and it will be announced in a verified minister account or in a major news publication. Note that if Netanayahu resigns it will resolve to NO as he is not technically a minister. Firing of ministers doesn't count, only resignations.

This will resolve to YES even if the minister returns to his position before the end of the poll.

#️ Politics
#🇮🇱 Israel
#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict
#Israeli Politics
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bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Two ministers just resigned as previously announced. Market should resolve as YES.

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-838187

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Looks like a resignation to come is already announced:

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2025-01-16/ty-article/.premium/far-right-minister-ben-gvir-to-quit-netanyahu-govt-if-hostage-deal-approved/00000194-7069-d540-a7f4-787f42df0000

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Another announced resignation:

https://www.jewishpress.com/news/israel/government-israel/resignation-letter-of-minister-yitzhak-wasserlauf-from-the-government/2025/01/17/

sold Ṁ1,000 YES

I guess Gallant's resignation doesn't count since he was fired as defense minister so he technically only resigned as an mk?

@ShakedKoplewitz yeah, see https://manifold.markets/Magyk/will-another-israeli-minister-resig-j8jrun16ee#vdcqwbgnzb from previous market

Previous market: https://manifold.markets/Magyk/will-another-israeli-minister-resig-j8jrun16ee

Will another Israeli minister resign from the government before 2025?
Resolved NO. Since the start of war 4 ministers resigned, 3 of them after joining a "unity government" at the start of war. This will resolve to YES if until January 1st 2025 another minister will send an official resignation letter to the prime minister, and it will be announced on a verified minister account or in a major news publication. Note that if Netanayahu resigns it will resolve to NO as he is not technically a minister. This will resolve to YES even if the minister returns to his position before the end of the poll. Ministers that resigned since the start of the war: Galit Distel-Atbaryan Benny Gantz Gadi Eisenkot Hili Tropper

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