Will AI video become indistinguishable from reality by 2030?
Plus
26
Ṁ1844Jul 30
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Can you make it more precise? Does it mean "there exists at least one AI video indistinguishable from reality", or "most AI videos that are used in practice are indistinguishable from reality", or "on any prompt, any resulting video is indistinguishable from reality"? And, how do you define "indistinguishable from reality"? Some sort of Turing test? If so, what kind of real videos and what kind of AI videos are allowed in it? (e.g. real video of blank white wall vs. AI video of blank white wall is not very interesting.)
Maybe better to write "Will AI video be indistinguishable from the real thing"?
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2025?
72% chance
Will AI generate realistic video of animal movement before 2025?
64% chance
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2032?
40% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?
38% chance
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2040?
66% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
41% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2025?
17% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
85% chance