Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of June 2026?
26
Ṁ100Ṁ1kJun 20
55%
chance
8
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on June 30 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high.
If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
(Not: 1.01 × closing value > all-time high)
[AI additions after this are not necessarily correct]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of June 2026?
Will the S&P 500 hit 8000 before July 1, 2026?
3% chance
Will the S&P500 close at 7650.00 or higher in June 2026?
44% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
71% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
70% chance