Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028
Basic
1
Ṁ102028
45%
chance
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If Aleph Alpha shuts down as an organisation, goes bankrupt, gets sold for a price (rumoured or confirmed) that is much lower (half or less) than the most recent valuation, then this will resolve “Yes”. Basically the intent of the question is whether the company/org “failed” at finding a sustainable business model and sustained growth consistent with a $1B+ outcome for investors and founders.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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