In 2030, will Western Australia's number of killed and serious injuries on the road be less than half of its 2020 value?
10
271Ṁ2942031
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Source of 2020 data: https://www.wa.gov.au/government/publications/wa-road-fatalities-and-serious-injuries-2020
2030 figure will be obtained from the most equivalent source, generally a government source.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Proportion of motor vehicle-related emergency room visits falls by more than 50% by 2030
43% chance
When will the US annual traffic fatality number go under 30k? Long term market. (2024=42k)
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?
46% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?
68% chance
Global car traffic deaths in 2026
1.2m
Will there be fewer global cancer deaths in 2030 than in 2024?
25% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2027?
10% chance
Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
40% chance