Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live)
Standard
13
Ṁ2200
Jan 1
1.1%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
52%
Fabiano Caruana
2%
Praggnanandhaa R
1.6%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
25%
D Gukesh
11%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Other

Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.

If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first. If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.

Can resolve as Magnus or Hikaru in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.

Resolution date will be extended as needed.

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Not resolved for October. Arjun, Fabi and Gukesh are 2794+

bought Ṁ10 Nodirbek Abdusattorov YES

No one makes it after the Olympiad, tight race at the top:

@DanielTilkin this is why i like making this market, while the monthly update is as arbitrary as anything else, it's fun!

bought Ṁ150 Fabiano Caruana YES

Fabi at 2806.5 after 6/11 rounds of the olympiad, which looks to be his only tournament this month.