
Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live)
17
1kṀ8591resolved Nov 9
100%99.0%
Fabiano Caruana
0.1%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
0.1%
Praggnanandhaa R
0.1%
Alireza Firouzja
0.1%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
0.2%
D Gukesh
0.2%
Arjun Erigaisi
0.1%Other
Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.
If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first. If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.
Can resolve as Magnus or Hikaru in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.
Resolution date will be extended as needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ232 | |
2 | Ṁ144 | |
3 | Ṁ109 | |
4 | Ṁ104 | |
5 | Ṁ103 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone new reach 2800 Elo rating in 2025?
19% chance
Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Which Players Will Be 2800 FIDE in 2025?
Who will be the first human grandmaster to have FIDE Standard ELO > 2900
Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?
Which chess prodigy will have the highest Elo rating at the end of 2025?
Will someone break the record for youngest Chess player to reach 2800 FIDE rating by the end of 2028?
40% chance
Who will be the first chess player with FIDE rating surpassing Magnus Carlsen?
Will Magnus Carlsen drop below 2800 Elo at any point before 2026?
6% chance