Resolves YES if the US Supreme Court determines (majority opinion) that all or part of Biden's executive order, i.e. at least several significant provisions, are unconstitutional by January 1, 2025.

Since there may be some discretion in assessing 'significant', I will not bet on this market.

Executive orders are subject to judicial review and can therefore be ruled unconstitutional by the court. Legal challenges in lower courts would not trigger a positive resolution. Nor a revocation of the order by a future administration.

On the other hand, the order appears to require the production of rules and other administrative actions, all of which are subject to judicial review. These may become candidates for a resolution. Legal challenges to actions that the EO has directed federal agencies to take may become candidates for a resolution if they reach the Supreme Court, assuming such actions follow from the EO directions.

A negative resolution can only happen either after the deadline or sooner if the Supreme Court makes a ruling (majority opinion) upholding the order.

The executive order:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/10/30/executive-order-on-the-safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence/

Executive Order on the Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence | The White House

     By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered as follows:      Section 1.  Purpose.  Artificial intelligence (AI) holds extraordinary potential for both promise and peril.  Responsible AI use has the potential to help solve urgent challenges…