Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030 If OpenAI is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization). Inspired by @/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030 credit @Bayesian

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (4 traders, as of Sep 10, 2026).

OpenAI flips Apple before 2030?

OpenAI flips Apple before 2030?

Ṁ1kṀ513

2029

40%

chance

ALL

Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030

If OpenAI is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).

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