Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be replicated by October 1st?

93

closes Oct 2

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New probability

1.3% +0.1%

Here is the paper in question: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2307/2307.12008.pdf. Replication will mean either a peer-reviewed publication of room temperature and pressure superconductor or general expert consensus that the result is real (e.g. a flood of Archive results that do not involve any of the 3 authors on the original paper and are being discussed and analyzed on twitter without significant blow-back that the results are fake/wrong).

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Relevant PubPeer thread: https://pubpeer.com/publications/82AF24DF343C16341B42CF36B22FA4

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