Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end?
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8
Ṁ4672030
10%
chance
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1W
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This Article 5 call needs to be qualified
At least two NATO countries need to publicly acknowledge it's a honest call
I'll rely on the wording of the mainstream media to check if there's a real threat to a NATO country
I won't bet.
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What qualifies the US “refusing to honor” article 5? The exact text (below) doesn’t require the US to necessarily use armed forces. Would it be that we’re unwilling to help whatsoever?
“such action as [the member state] deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area."
also, fwiw: wikipedia maintains a list of all threats to use article 5, and the singular use (sept 11th).
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