Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
47
1.4kṀ3296
2033
37%
chance

This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.

Market share as of Oct 2022:

I am increasingly surprised by AI advances that I think Google's moat could be under attack soon, either by startups or by Apple. The pace of copycats to breakthrough models like AlphaFold, GPT-3 and Dalle-2 makes me think people are overestimating how defensible is artificial inteligence breakthroughs.

Creator policy: I won't bet.

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