Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
EDIT: A comment I gave for @BrendanFinan on the resolution criteria, even though I think it's clear
I am expecting they annoucing something real, like setting a date, or that they picked the location, or that they closed with UFC for the fight. As they are both social media moguls, posting on social media could count, but I'll rely on judgement and in the mainstream press to adjudicate.
Honestly? I don't expect this to be controversial at all, so that's why I deemed it OK to bet on this market.
The fact that Musk is world's best troll will make me more skeptical of believing in him (he already tweeted it's happening), so I perhaps may rely more on MZ and Meta comms
I may bet on this market.
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@MarcusAbramovitch this market is reminiscent of the era when I didn't write titles correctly using the word by. I'll consider the closing date, that is what I meant.
@MP This title and closing date are consistent with the correct meaning of the word "by". "by" means "no later than".
However, many use it to mean "before", so no matter how you use it you'll confuse somebody - unless you say "by end of January", which everyone can agree on (except those people who think "by" means "at", but let's ignore them).
I disagree with such a strong assertion of the "correct" meaning of "by". Putting aside arguments from linguistic descriptivism, we must distinguish points in time from time periods, and "by" really only applies to the first. Whenever someone says "by" a time period, we must use convention to guess what point in time they intend. If I say "Be ready by 9 am", we interpret that to mean one must be ready for the point in time at the start of the hour of nine, not the end of that hour. That's the convention for hours (and minutes, and seconds), but for dates there isn't really such a convention, and instead confusion reigns supreme. If one says "by January" (or "by 2024", or "by January 10th, 2024"), we don't automatically assume that one means to identify the start of the given time period, even if that is what would be consistent with the equivalent for times of day.
But it's hard to argue that the opposite is the case either: we definitely don't translate "by January" to "by the end of January" anywhere near as easily and cleanly, if at all, as we translate "by 9 am" to "by the start of the hour of nine". Rather, the whole thing is a giant muddle, and one must use context to try to figure out what was meant. I agree with you that it's confusing, and your suggestion that one always be explicit is apt. But there isn't (perhaps unfortunately) some true answer that everyone "should" know as to what the correct usage of "by" is for dates.
@chrisjbillington yes. "by" means no later than, as in "no later than January 2024" meaning before January 2024 happens
@MarcusAbramovitch You are incorrect. That's not what I meant, not what "no later than January 2024" means, and not what "by" means.
Here's Merriam Webster defining "no later than" to be a synonym for "by", explicitly saying it includes all of "at", "in", "on", or "before":
no/not later than idiom
: by (a specified time) : at, in, on, or before (a specified time)
We'll need to know your decision no/not later than next week.
Obviously the word "by" is ambiguous in practice since many people use it to mean "before". Given the close date though, the creator of this question is obviously using the dictionary definition, so both in spirit and letter that's the deadline for the question.
Today Musk was saying he was going to drive to Mark's Palo Alto home to challenge him in the ring in his backyard. Meta comms said that MZ wasn't in California and he treats the sport seriously.
There are crazy hopium by the YES holders. Yes, I panic sold a bit of my position in the Italian government declarations, but it seems it was Dana and Musk doing preparations without talking to Mark, that clearly is very upset with the whole situations and (correctly) thinks Musk isn't serious about fighting.
@MP it just reacts to your calibration. If you are underconfident, it will update further in the direction of your bet. Conversely, if you are overconfident, it trades against you.
I've sold my position so the motivated reasoning has mostly left my body, but I do think this is >50% now.
Like he's talking to the prime minister of italy, that's more than shitposting.
@Joshua I don't believe in anything Musk talks, but it seems an italian government official tweeted about
