Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
Plus
17
Ṁ5582044
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently, there is a big taboo on making drugs that should be used by someone that is considered healthy and usually, regulators like the FDA don't authorize studies on this matter. Nonetheless, it's possible that certain substances could be helpful to all the people (like vaccines)
If a non-vaccine drug is approved and it's recommended by the relevant U.S. authorities to be used by most adults (it's possible it was some populations where it's bad, like say pregnant women), this market resolves to YES.
I'll rely on official sources and the mainstream media (NYT, WaPo, The Economist, FT, WSJ, Bloomberg, CNN, CBS...)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
29% chance
Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?
44% chance
Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?
60% chance
Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?
46% chance
The FDA will approve a drug for the treatment of senescence (aging) before the end of the decade (before 2030)
24% chance
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
25% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
71% chance
By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?
45% chance
Will MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD be approved by the FDA before 2030?
55% chance