When will the first reputable AI-lab go public via a SPAC?
6
370αΉ752026
14%
H1'2024
14%
H2'2024
14%
H1'2025
14%
H2'2025
44%
No AI-lab goes public via a SPAC in '24 or '25
To define what a reputable AI-lab, it'll need to have some requirements:
A foundational language model comparable to the ChatGPT free model
I'll rely on Hugging Face and LLMSys benchmarks
In case of continuous controversy, I may rely on a poll of Manifold users
I won't bet. This market resolves at the announcement date.
Labs like OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral, Cohere, Stability, AI21Labs, would count.
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