OpenAI saga: will it have an entertaining outcome?
Basic
10
Ṁ441
Nov 21
19%
chance

According to Elon Musk, the most entertaining outcome is the most likely

This market resolves to YES if one year from now, I'll consider that the OpenAI debacle had an entertaining outcome, according to my own judgment. This means something very unusual that will make a technology junk like me very entertained.

Here's an non-exaustive list of possible outcomes:

  • Anthropic and OpenAI merge

  • OpenAI go to another big tech

  • ChatGPT ceases to exist

  • OpenAI ceases to exist

  • Someone goes to jail

  • The new model they make on Microsoft is very unhinged

I won't bet on this market.

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Is Sam Altman returning and then getting fired again before you judge entertaining?

Are you willing to comment on which of the possible outcomes you listed you would find entertaining?

@JakobBrunker I believe the intention is that all of those are entertaining

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