Conditional in the fight between Musk and Zuckerberg happening, will Zuckerberg win?
resolved Feb 1

This market resolves to N/A in January 2024 together with /MP/will-elon-musk-and-mark-zuckerberg . If by then, they announce their fight, this market will postpone its resolution date.

In case of a draw, this market resolves to NO.

I'll use the mainstream media (NYT, CNN, WaPo, The Guardian) to adjudicate who won in case of controversy.

I will bet on this market.

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predicted YES

@MP can i have my meme mana back pls

predicted NO

ok this can resolve N/A now.. lol @MP

predicted YES

I don’t get it @Bayesian isn’t all that trading just going to waste with the N/A result?

predicted YES

@JimAusman yeah but we got to draw funny lines with our profit graphs

predicted NO

@JimAusman If this isn't a cool hat idk what is


@Joshua hahahaha you have a heck of a balance

bought Ṁ10,000 of YES

@Bayesian and finally somewhere to put it!

@Joshua if this goes low marcus will have paper losses and people might bet wrong about his promotion/demotion from leagues 😟

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

@Bayesian Oh I unranked it already lol

predicted NO

@Joshua whaaaaaaaaaat but it's predicting whether zuck will win!

bought Ṁ500 of NO

burkebot is having the time of its life

bought Ṁ473 of NO

might as well..?

bought Ṁ500 of NO

joshua disagrees

bought Ṁ50 of NO

yeah I'm going to bet on the who's 5 inches taller at 4-1 odds.

bought Ṁ39 of YES

@ChrisRoth I favor the person who takes the sport seriously.

predicted NO

@HankyUSA then you dont really know the sport you are betting on

predicted YES

@notarealuser I confess I don't know much about MMA or martial arts in general. Is 5 inches height really so much more important than taking the sport seriously? Doesn't that make the sport a really roundabout way to compare people's heights?

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Zuck won medals... anyone thinking Elon could beat him is delusional

@DoctorHow Zuck won a local white belt (lowest rank) bjj tournament, which is nice but not particularly impressive. Musk is like 20cm taller and multiple weight classes ahead.

predicted YES

@Robbie He is not 20cm taller

@Soren 16cm to be exact, which is massive in martial arts

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Musk's been sparring with Lex. He has a big advantage in size and strength vs Zuck, but a deficit of training, but that gap could be quickly closed by more training (picking the low hanging fruit)

predicted YES

@JonathanRay has he? Haven't we just seen a photo that shows that? Not sure those things are the same at all

predicted YES

@JoshuaWilkes I see the Fridman said they spared for several hours. But he also said that Musk was quick and strong so might have been pumping him up a bit

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