Conditional in the fight between Musk and Zuckerberg happening, will Zuckerberg win?
closes 2024

This market resolves to N/A in January 2024 together with /MP/will-elon-musk-and-mark-zuckerberg . If by then, they announce their fight, this market will postpone its resolution date.

In case of a draw, this market resolves to NO.

I'll use the mainstream media (NYT, CNN, WaPo, The Guardian) to adjudicate who won in case of controversy.

I will bet on this market.

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ChrisRoth avatar
Chris Rothbought Ṁ50 of NO

yeah I'm going to bet on the who's 5 inches taller at 4-1 odds.

1 reply
LukeHanks avatar
Luke Hanksbought Ṁ39 of YES

@ChrisRoth I favor the person who takes the sport seriously.

DoctorHow avatar
Doctor Howbought Ṁ1 of YES

Zuck won medals... anyone thinking Elon could beat him is delusional

3 replies
Robbie avatar

@DoctorHow Zuck won a local white belt (lowest rank) bjj tournament, which is nice but not particularly impressive. Musk is like 20cm taller and multiple weight classes ahead.

Soren avatar
Sorenpredicts YES

@Robbie He is not 20cm taller

Robbie avatar

@Soren 16cm to be exact, which is massive in martial arts

JonathanRay avatar
Jonathan Raybought Ṁ100 of NO

Musk's been sparring with Lex. He has a big advantage in size and strength vs Zuck, but a deficit of training, but that gap could be quickly closed by more training (picking the low hanging fruit)

2 replies
JoshuaWilkes avatar
Josh Wilkespredicts YES

@JonathanRay has he? Haven't we just seen a photo that shows that? Not sure those things are the same at all

JoshuaWilkes avatar
Josh Wilkespredicts YES

@JoshuaWilkes I see the Fridman said they spared for several hours. But he also said that Musk was quick and strong so might have been pumping him up a bit

fiddledidee avatar
yohopredicts YES

If any of you have seen footage of zucks MMA training and bjj comp rolls, you'd bet on him. He's at the level of a pretty dedicated hobbyist. He would absolutely steamroll musk. Maybe if musk was 4 inches taller, had 20kg more muscle and used to wrestle in college it'd be fair

MP avatar
MPpredicts YES

Lol, @acc is now the biggest YES buyer. I don't think I ever saw these Liquidity bots making so big directional bets. It's also weird the bot isn't programmed to stop buying the same bet if it becomes significative in the market

2 replies
MP avatar
MPpredicts YES
MP avatar
MPpredicts YES
Comment hidden
mistersplice avatar

Musk still has time to train

2 replies
KabirKumar avatar
Kabir Kumarpredicts YES

@mistersplice He has long term injuries, I believe.

TobiasPace avatar
Tobias Pace

@mistersplice Training takes time, effort, and some physical pain. If he was 100% committed he could probably win, but I doubt his trainer will push him that hard. He'll probably get the kid glove treatment, which won't prepare him to go up against a competitive martial artist. In the early days of MMA it was common for a skilled figher to face a less skilled opponent who massively outweighs him, and the skilled fighter almost always won.