At which year the mainstream media will report that most of the internet content is AI-generated? | Manifold

At which year the mainstream media will report that most of the internet content is AI-generated?

9

570Ṁ235

2031

47%

2024 or 2025

29%

2026 or 2027

12%

2028 or 2029

10%

2030 or 2031

3%

2032, later, or never

If at least two mainstream media outlets run stories that now most of the (open) internet is AI-generate, this market resolves to YES to the year of these stories.

This market resolves to 2032, later, or never on Dec 31st 2031.

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Criteria for 'the internet'? (Does social media count)

Does the article have to be correct?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer no criteria, the article doesn't have to be correct.

What are the criteria for mainstream?

@JamieRumbelow (NYT, wapo, wsj, the economist...)

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Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

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Will anybody be sentenced to prison as a result of publishing unintended AI-generated content before 2026?

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Related questions

By end of 2025, will addiction to AI-generated content be a thing?

Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2025

Will anybody be sentenced to prison as a result of publishing unintended AI-generated content before 2026?

Will AI-related news in 2025 have a bigger media impact than covid19-related news had in 2020?

Will a US court rule that AI-generated content can be a copyright violation before 2025?

Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2026?

Will AI substitute journalists in digital media in USA, Europe or Latin America until the end of 2025?

Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2028?

Will AI-generated media on major social media platforms be required to be labeled as such by the US government by 2026?

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