At which year the mainstream media will report that most of the internet content is AI-generated?
10
Ṁ570Ṁ244
2031
45%
2024 or 2025
27%
2026 or 2027
13%
2028 or 2029
10%
2030 or 2031
5%
2032, later, or never

If at least two mainstream media outlets run stories that now most of the (open) internet is AI-generate, this market resolves to YES to the year of these stories.

This market resolves to 2032, later, or never on Dec 31st 2031.

Market context
Technology
AI
Technical AI Timelines
Internet
Google
AI Safety
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50% of new internet content, or 50% of all internet content? @MP

@spiderduckpig Internet content. But this hardly matters.

Criteria for 'the internet'? (Does social media count)

Does the article have to be correct?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer no criteria, the article doesn't have to be correct.

What are the criteria for mainstream?

@JamieRumbelow (NYT, wapo, wsj, the economist...)

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