For which N will this market get N^2 traders after N months?
16
200αΉ€2347
resolved Oct 23
100%70%
3.5 ≀ N < 4.5 (12.25 ≀ N^2 < 20.25)
0.1%
N < 1.5 (N^2 < 2.25)
0.1%
1.5 ≀ N < 2.5 (2.25 ≀ N^2 < 6.25)
0.1%
2.5 ≀ N < 3.5 (6.25 ≀ N^2 < 12.25)
12%
4.5 ≀ N < 5.5 (20.25 ≀ N^2 < 30.25)
17%Other

I will adjust the market closing date for each new trader. For instance, with 6 traders, the market will close after sqrt(6)*30.5 days = 74.7 days in total.

Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx

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reposted

Closing time has been updated for trader number 16. I won't be online at the new closing time, so the market may close prematurely or take longer to resolve.

Seems like I may have made some trading mistakes…

sold αΉ€2 YES

Closing time has been updated for trader number 15.

reposted

Closing time has been updated for trader number 14.

Thanks for the liquidity, @JoshuaB!

reposted

Closing time has been updated for trader number 13.

Primarily inspired by the following market, but using bins instead of interpolation: https://manifold.markets/Mira_/how-many-traders-will-this-market-g?r=TUwxMmQx

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