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MANIFOLD
Post-Q4 2026 Global AI Diffusion Rate
0
resolved May 14
above 30%
above 40%
above 50%
above 70%
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AI diffusion is measured as the share of people between ages of 15 and 64 who have used a generative AI product. This measure is derived from aggregated and anonymized Microsoft telemetry and adjusted to reflect differences in OS and device-market share, internet penetration, and country population.

https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/topics/ai-economy-institute/reports/global-ai-adoption-2026-q1

This market will be resolved based on data officially published by Microsoft AI Diffusion Report.

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