How Many Games will Matthias Bluebaum Win at the 2026 FIDE Candidates?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ100Ṁ498

May 31

0.82 games

expected

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63%

31%

2 - 14

How many FIDE-rated games will Matthias Bluebaum win at the 2026 FIDE Candidates tournament? Forfeits do not count (as they are not rated). Resolves to 0 if he does not play the tournament.

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If someone overpushes in the 2nd half against Matthias, then Bluebaum might get 1 win. Two or more, less likely

Decent chance he won't even be the lowest-rated player in the candidates with how many upsets we've seen in the world cup

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