Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, the United Kingdom enacts legislation that explicitly requires English language proficiency as a legal condition for obtaining permanent residency (Indefinite Leave to Remain). The resolution will be based on official UK government publications or reputable news sources confirming the enactment of such legislation.

For the purposes of this market, both primary legislation (Acts of Parliament) and legally binding secondary legislation, such as amendments to the Immigration Rules laid before Parliament, will satisfy the resolution criteria.

Background

In May 2025, the UK government published a white paper titled "Restoring Control over the Immigration System," proposing significant reforms to the immigration framework. Among the proposed changes are:

• Increased English Language Requirements: The white paper suggests raising the English language proficiency standards for various visa categories. Specifically, it proposes that Skilled Worker visa applicants meet a B2 level on the Common European Framework of Reference for Languages (CEFR), and that adult dependents of visa applicants demonstrate at least an A1 level, progressing to A2 for visa extensions and B2 for settlement applications. (newsweek.com)

• Extended Residency Requirement for Settlement: The qualifying period for Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR) is proposed to increase from five to ten years for most visa holders. (visaandimmigrations.com)

As of July 2025, these proposals have not been enacted into law. The white paper outlines the government's intentions, but legislative processes are required to implement these changes.

Considerations

• Legislative Process: The proposals in the white paper represent the government's policy intentions but require passage through Parliament to become law. The timeline for such legislation can vary, and not all proposals may be enacted as initially outlined.

• Scope of Requirements: While the white paper proposes increased English language requirements for certain visa categories and for settlement applications, it does not explicitly state that English proficiency will become a legal requirement for obtaining permanent residency. The final legislation will determine the exact requirements.

• Monitoring Official Sources: For the most accurate and up-to-date information, refer to official UK government publications and reputable news outlets regarding changes to immigration laws and requirements.