How many people will claim UK asylum for the year ending December 2024?
6
360Ṁ246Feb 28
65,130
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As reported by gov.uk.
Figure for December 23 is 83,000:
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/65df074bf1cab30011fc4849/imm-stats-dec-23-01.svg
I WILL be betting on this question myself.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Latest release up to march 2024: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-march-2024
@LukeShadwell Looks like this is the most relevant graph, seems to be increasing again, possibly due to the Israel-Gaza War

Related questions
Related questions
Will total applications for asylum in the UK be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
28% chance
Will the UK grant more work visas in the year ending September 2025 than in the year ending September 2024?
48% chance
Between April 2022 and the end of 2025, how many people will seek asylum in New York City (NYC)?
Will Net Migration to the UK be higher in 2024 than in 2023?
19% chance
How many millionaires will leave the UK by 2025?
Will UK net migration be negative in any year up to 2040?
40% chance
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will illegal migration be above 20k per year on average in the UK?
Which country will have the largest exodus of people (increase in emigrant population) between 2020 and 2025?
Will more people have emigrated from India than any other country in 2025?
89% chance
Will more than 10,000 asylum seekers cross the Finnish-Russian border during 2024?
12% chance