Will a highly watched yet highly illegal black market for GPUs emerge before the end of 2025 | Manifold

Will a highly watched yet highly illegal black market for GPUs emerge before the end of 2025

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Ṁ2340

resolved Sep 17

Resolved

YES

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@traders does anyone think this shouldn't resolve YES now?

bought Ṁ750 YES

this market seems resolvable based on ops statements and additional reporting? @LukasPellant

https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/nvidia-h100-gpu-black-market-prices-drop-in-china-banned-by-us-sanctions-but-still-available

Doesn't the black market for H100s sold to China meet this criteria?

bought Ṁ30 YES

@RemNi https://money.udn.com/money/story/11162/7931954

@RemNi i would say yes

Can you elaborate on what you mean by "highly watched", "highly illegal" and "black market"?

Yeah, seconding this, seems too vague to confidently predict on. Would be good to hear from @LukasPellant - what sort of things would you base your resolution of this on?

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