Background

There are a number of organizations moving to disqualify candidates for participating in the Jan 6th 2021 riot at the US Capitol using section 3 of 14th Amendment to the US Constitution which reads:

"No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice-President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability."

The clause was used to bar members of the Confederacy from elected office after the civil war. The US Supreme Court has ruled that while the 14th amendment cannot be used by states to disqualify candidates for federal elections, it can be used to disqualify candidates for state-level elections.

Market Resolution

Market resolves YES if any candidates for state-level offices are disqualified, excluded from or removed from the ballots of any states in any elections (primary, general, midterm, special, etc) by 2028. The candidate must be disqualified on election day. The market will resolve as soon as an election occurs where a candidate has been excluded or disqualified.

Market resolves NO if disqualification, exclusion or removal from ballots never occurs.

Market resolves N/A if the candidate(s) in question drop out of the race or remove themselves from the ballot prior to being disqualified.

Disclaimer

I do not bet in markets I create. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve the market, the market may be resolved by Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.