Will Lorxus fall ill with COVID by the end of 2024?
4
30
140
2025
11%
chance

Since the time Lorxus first went into initial lockdown on 2020-03-17, they have never once caught COVID-19, even through multiple moves, job changes, trains rides, and flights. They got vaccinated as soon as they were able to, in late March of 2021, and have stayed up-to-date on vaccinations including boosters. They own and regularly use an elastomeric P100 mask and disposable N95 masks.

This market resolves NO if it remains true that Lorxus has never caught COVID at the end of 2024 and early to YES if Lorxus contracts COVID as confirmed by a test. Lorxus will take good-faith precautionary measures (like masks, avoiding crowds, hand-washing, and keeping up to date on vaccinations) to protect their health, and will make good-faith attempts to know the true state of their own COVID status whenever applicable. (I do not want to catch the plague.)

Lorxus reserves the right to resolve the market early to NO at their own sole discretion if they contract or are exposed to COVID primarily or entirely due to a trader-provoked scheme. (Do not turn this into a bounty market to infect me.)

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I guess when you say "infected" and "caught" you mean "fell ill with"?

@admissions Yes. If you want I can be more exacting with the language in the resolve criteria? I'm aware that it's possible, in a technical sense, for me to be exposed to and infected by COVID without ever contracting it or falling ill or noticing at all; I am not trying to play silly language games here.