Who, if anyone, will emerge as an authoritarian leader figure in the Martian Revolution or its immediate aftermath?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ1412027
9%
Axel Cartwright
9%
Alexandra Claire
9%
Mabel Dore
9%
Booth Gonzalez
55%
No authoritarian leader emerges
9%
https://revolutionspodcast.libsyn.com/
If multiple figures end up in a triumvirate or the like, this market resolves equally to all candidates, except if one is clearly first among equals (e.g. Julius Caesar, Pompey, and Crassus in 54BC except somehow stable).
Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has not finished listening to the podcast series referenced in the market description. Resolution may depend on input from others who have completed the series.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I haven't actually finished listening to the series. If anyone has and there is a solid answer, poke me on Discord or through DMs here.