Elon Musk full mental breakdown when?
153
275Ṁ13k
2029
57%
2029 or later
20%
1st half 2026
11%
Second half of 2025
4%
First half 2025
2%
2nd half 2026
1.5%
2nd half of 2027
1.3%
1st half of 2027

  • Update 2025-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • The market will resolve by a poll after the next public meltdown by Elon Musk.

    • A qualifying meltdown must be public and captured on camera or recorded in media (excluding Twitter).

    • This determination will be based on the perception of it being a very public, unhinged meltdown.

  • Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification to the 'Other' Option:

    • The Other option is defined as any point in time not covered by the other specific options.

  • Update 2025-03-23 (PST): - Meltdown Timing: The qualifying meltdown for 'He already did' must have occurred prior to market creation. (AI summary of creator comment)

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