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MANIFOLD
What will be Elon Musk's cause of death?
51
Ṁ2.3kṀ11k
resolved Feb 27
ResolvedN/A
13%Other
12%
Stroke
10%
Disease (non-mental)
8%
Cancer
8%
Suicide
7%
a family member
6%
Heart attack
5%
Acute effects of ketamine
5%
accident while under the influence of ketamine
5%
robot
4%
"Natural causes"
3%
Homicide
2%
Not conclusively known within 1 year of passing
1.7%
airlock malfunction
1.4%
Zuck
1.3%
Opioid overdose
1.3%
Rocket or space flight accident
1.2%
Stung by a stingray
1.2%
Crash-landing on Mars

Market context
Elon musk
Elon Musk
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There are other diseases like cancer mentioned. How does this work?

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 5% order

@BarryJones ?

sold Ṁ20 YES

@Daniel_MC resolved as N/A as I don't think this market will be resolvable

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darwin_Awards

bought Ṁ10 YES

If he gets cancer and opts for euthanasia how would that be counted? Same goes for has something like a stroke or major heart attack and then dies of flu or another common illness?

@BarryJones

Does assassination fall under homicide?

bought Ṁ50 NO

Seems unlikely

bought Ṁ5 YES

I assume "Attack by a feral animal" includes being eaten by a bronteroc.

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