If we find out in 2024, was o1's Transformer base trained on 10+x as much compute as GPT-4's? | Manifold

If we find out in 2024, was o1's Transformer base trained on 10+x as much compute as GPT-4's?

10

Ṁ1kṀ1.1k

resolved Jul 2

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O1_(generative_pre-trained_transformer)

Market context

Technical AI Timelines

GPT-5 Speculation

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

In yottaFLOPs (10^24), how much compute will GPT-4 be trained with?

How much compute will be used to train GPT-5?

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

Will growth in the maximum MW used to train AIs, slow down by more than x2 after GPT-5-like?

GPT-4 performance and compute efficiency from a simple architecture before 2026

Will growth in the maximum MW used to train AIs, slow down by more than x2 after GPT-6-like?

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will OpenAI's autonomous agent be based on GPT-4?

Related questions

In yottaFLOPs (10^24), how much compute will GPT-4 be trained with?

How much compute will be used to train GPT-5?

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

Will growth in the maximum MW used to train AIs, slow down by more than x2 after GPT-5-like?

GPT-4 performance and compute efficiency from a simple architecture before 2026

Will growth in the maximum MW used to train AIs, slow down by more than x2 after GPT-6-like?

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will OpenAI's autonomous agent be based on GPT-4?