How many answers will this question have when it closes?
16
325Ṁ1821
resolved Feb 9
100%2%
15
1.1%
100
0.7%
0
1.2%
25
1.2%
50
1.2%
75
1.4%
11
5%
a prime number
5%
a multiple of 11
5%
101
17%
An even number
22%
an odd number
8%
>50 <70
7%
fibonacci number
24%Other

Including "Other," how many answers will this question have when it closes?

A duplicate of https://manifold.markets/market/how-many-answers-will-this-question slightly modified

If more than one answer is correct, the most restrictive of the correct answers will resolve to Yes. For example, if one answer is "An even number" and another answer is "Six," and there are six answers when the question closes, then "Six" would resolve to Yes because it is more restrictive than "An even number." And similarly, "A number divisible by 3" would be more restrictive than "An even number" if those were the only two correct answers.

If I determine that more than one correct answer are equally the most restrictive correct answer, then I will split the decision evenly between the most restrictive correct answers.

Don't add an answer that is equivalent to an answer that has already been added, i would not count it

Any answer that self refer the market to be correct is not going to count

  • Clarifications on Restrictiveness:

    • Variable values are considered less restrictive than static values.

    • Adding extraneous elements to an answer does not increase its restrictiveness for tiebreaking purposes.

    • If multiple answers are equal, the first added correct answer resolves to Yes, and subsequent equivalent answers resolve to No.

    • No answer is more restrictive than a single static value; adding variable conditions (e.g., "100 and...") does not increase restrictiveness.

    • The count of answer is going to be done once the market close, so you can edit your answer to actively influence the market

update 03/02/25

Clarification on Answer Edits and Tiebreakers:

If an answer is edited to duplicate the correct answer, priority will be given to the first answer that originally contained the correct value, not the first one that was later edited to match it. As the creator, I have access to the initial versions of submitted answers. This means I can verify whether an answer has been modified and will prioritize unmodified answers in tiebreaker situations.

info: currently there can not be more than 100 answer, manifold updates can cange this info

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