This market resolves based on whether the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize is awarded to an individual or organization whose primary focus is climate change activism, environmental protection, or addressing global warming.

Context: The Nobel Peace Prize has recognized climate change efforts before, most notably in 2007 when it was awarded to the IPCC and Al Gore "for their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change" (source). With climate change increasingly linked to global security and conflict, the Norwegian Nobel Committee may again recognize this issue.

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on October 10, 2025, with 338 candidates nominated (244 individuals and 94 organizations) (source).

Resolution Criteria: Resolves YES if the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize is awarded to an individual or organization whose primary work focuses on climate change, environmental protection, or global warming, as evidenced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee's official citation. Otherwise resolves NO.

Resolution source: The Nobel Prize website