Will Verizon offer basic internet service via satellite (in the US) by 2030?
Will Verizon offer basic internet service via satellite (in the US) by 2030?
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Presumably you mean "direct-to-cell" services (i.e. everything you can use exclusively with a regular smartphone, whatever that will mean in 2030), and something like Verizon reselling a branded version of Starlink or Viasat wouldn't count?
Hmmm. StarLink does considerably better than that, but their constellation is fairly expensive. I'm assuming you picked that benchmark because you think Verizon might try for a sat-phone model, or at least to have such a network available as a fallback from maintaining expensive infrastructure in less populated areas?
@AndrewHartman Mostly I picked that because T-Mobile is doing an SMS-only version of this. Basic internet feels like the logical next step
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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