What will the US U3 unemployment rate be in ~2 months? [see description]
1
100Ṁ5
resolved Oct 29
Resolved
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This is an experimental market

  • Each day, I will roll 1d6+1d10

  • If it comes up as (5 or 6, 10), then this market closes, and the next one in the series is created

  • 1 month later, this market resolves to the true value according to BLS

Future markets like this will use public randomness, but I don't yet know how to implement that in a way that can't be gamed

Oct 27, 4:13am: What will the US U3 unemployment rate be in ~1 month? [see description] → What will the US U3 unemployment rate be in ~2 months? [see description]

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