Will PiS win the October 2023 elections in Poland?
22
410Ṁ1184resolved Oct 16
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ96 | |
| 2 | Ṁ41 | |
| 3 | Ṁ36 | |
| 4 | Ṁ17 | |
| 5 | Ṁ16 |
Sort by:
What's the exact definition here?
Closing date seems to imply you're going to take the exit polls and check if Zjednoczona Prawica has the most highest result in those, is that correct?
Or will you:
Check for majority rather than plurality?
Adjust somehow for just PiS w/o coalition members?
Go with official results (need to change resolution date by a day or two then)?
Go with seat count won (for ZP or PiS)?
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2025 Polish presidential election?
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
40% chance
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
48% chance
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
66% chance
Candidate from which Party will become the next president of Poland in 2025?
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the 2025 presidential elections in Poland?
78% chance
Who will win the next parliamentary election in Poland?
Will there be parliamentary elections in Poland in 2025?
17% chance