@traders Since Tadej, Jonas, and Remco decided to skip this one just to disappoint me, I've renamed this question from "Will one of the Big Four (Pogacar, Vingegaard, Evenepoel, Roglic) win the Vuelta a España 2024?" to "Will Primož Roglič win the Vuelta a España 2024?"

No one is going to find this market in the search box:

@ian 😭 This just keeps happening. For over a year. Will we ever fix search?

I'm busy working on the backend, sorry!

Sorry for your meltdown, I've changed it.

The melting down will continue until Primoz retires.

No worrys, it won't go away if Roglič retires.

We also have Pogačar, Évita Muzic, Liège, La Flèche Wallonne, España, ...

You don't have to actually change the title, you can just go to the bottom of the description and add the name with "normal letters" and then it should appear in search.

But it still would look like this in Browse:

itshappening.jpg

Apparently Primoz fractured his lower back in the crash

Yeah, there is a picture of the bone not being attached to the other bone.

Apparently he's starting San Sebastian. APPARENTLY.

Apparently he's still injured and not doing good.

😢

I think Roglic can do it but he might be dead.

Why shouldn't he be able to? (Expect crashing) I currently am in the mood for all of them to start. Pogi because he'd like to do the magic triple, Jonas because he'd like to win a GT and Remco, because why not

My understanding is that:

Pogi is 1% to start, according to himself or something

Jonas was said to have a family matter to attend to, that involves his wife

No idea on Remco's status, but I feel like he'd want to do the Olympics and then save up his energy for the late season.

The only one I think is over 50% to start is Roglic.

ARE YOU SURE?

Tbh, they all can change their mind. We probably need a market for this 👀 I amn't 100% sure about everyone expect Roglic, but kind of assume that two out of the three will start, but that's just my gut.

I don't think that Remco is officially confirmed to not start the Vuelta, but think he will want some rest after the olympics and will want to prepare for worlds. Also Quickstep reported somewhere at the start of the season that Landa would be their leader for the Vuelta.

Roglic is the favorite for the Vuelta anyway if he recovers from his injury (he had no fractures so should be fine). Lots of good Roglic climbs.