Will "“X distracts from Y” as a thinly-disguised fi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
2
Ṁ7Feb 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post “X distracts from Y” as a thinly-disguised fight over group status / politics is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
40% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
65% chance
Will "Focus on the places where you feel shocked ev..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
81% chance
Will "You can just spontaneously call people you ha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "How to Bounded Distrust" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance