Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
3
Ṁ23Feb 1
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Against LLM Reductionism is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
47% chance
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Elements of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "AI doom from an LLM-plateau-ist perspective" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "“Reframing Superintelligence” + LLMs + 4 years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance