Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
2
1kṀ110resolved Feb 7
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ14 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "A bird's eye view of ARC's research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "On Devin" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "On Not Pulling The Ladder Up Behind You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance