Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
2
Ṁ55Feb 1
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Social Dark Matter is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Acausal normalcy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
35% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Deep Honesty" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Natural Latents: The Math" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Enemies vs Malefactors" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Natural Latents: The Math" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "The Witching Hour" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance