
Will "The Plan - 2023 Version" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
2
70Ṁ15resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Plan - 2023 Version is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1 | |
2 | Ṁ0 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "The Plan - 2024 Update" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Review: Planecrash" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "What o3 Becomes by 2028" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "MIRI 2024 Mission and Strategy Update" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance