Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1642027
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post What’s the short timeline plan? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Timaeus in 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Everyone has a plan until they get lied to th..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "A History of the Future, 2025-2040" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI Futures Timelines and Takeoff Model: Dec 2..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will ""What's my goal?"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Good if make prior after data instead of before" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How will we update about scheming?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance